The minimum win rate to pass
Most traders pick a firm and hope. The disciplined move is to work backwards: given a firm's target, drawdown floor and your reward-to-risk, what's the minimum win rate that clears it with a reasonable probability?
If the answer is a sustained 65%+ at 1:1 — a bar almost no retail trader clears over a real sample — the firm/strategy combination is mathematically uphill, and no amount of position-sizing cleverness fixes it. If it's 54%, that's achievable with genuine edge you can verify from your logged trades.
The Desk's minimum-edge tool solves this directly, and the edge-significance tool tells you whether your observed win rate is real or just noise at your current sample size — with an honest Wilson confidence interval, not a point estimate that pretends to certainty.
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